Russian container market review for the first 9M-14

Отчет «Российский контейнерный рынок» по итогам 9 месяцев текущего года

In October, of the two adjacent terminals – the two largest terminals of Russia – the two terminals operated by GlobalPorts group – one terminal reduced container turnover by 22% year-on-year, the other – increased by 5%. What does this mean? Maybe, that there is still no clear and unambiguous trend to have shaped on the market of container transportation, despite sanctions, despite the fall of the ruble, etc. Why would then InfraNews issue a report based on the results of 9 months? You will not find the answer to this question in the report, but hopefully you will know it after you have read it.

There are still interesting questions the report will answer for you:

• One of the interesting and quite distinct trends noted in the report is the decline of cabotage: where, how and why is the reduced volume of cabotage a significant phenomenon for the market?
• The report notes a clear shift of focus of foreign trade towards Asia and the Far East. How do the shares of the terminals of west and east coast of Russia change? What tools are used to artificially redistribute freight flows between terminals? How effective is the “customs optimization” tool? when does it works and when it doesn’t?
• How do the routes and patterns of container import to Russia change, and what factors determine the trends and changing proportion of countries and ports serving Russian transit?
• Competition between modes of transport moving containerized cargo. What are the prospects for the growth of transit along the Trans-Siberian Railway? How does the railroad successfully compete for containerized cargo with road delivery in Russia?

Table of Contents

• Introduction
• Rating of container terminals
• Cabotage
• Loaded containers
• Market by sea basins
  • Azov – Black Sea
  • Far East
  • Russian Baltics
  • All Baltics
• Lines in Russia
  • Actually, Russia
• The containers on the railway
  • Dynamics
  • Cargoes
  • Shippers and consignees
  • Stations
• Ukraine
• Rating of rolling stock operators
• Fore-forecast
• The overall story
• Road transportation
• Forecast for the next six months
• Forecast for the next 2 years
• Appendix №1 Railway freight turnover by shippers and the structure of the largest
• Appendix №2 Stations of origin and destination by quarters for 2012-14

List of charts and graphs:
Diag. 1. Shares of 15 largest terminals in the total container turnover of the RF ports for 9M-13
Diag. 2. Shares of 15 largest terminals in the total container turnover of the RF ports for 9M-14
Diag. 3. Shares of 15 largest terminals in the total export container turnover of the RF ports for 9M-13
Diag. 4. Shares of 15 largest terminals in the total export container turnover of the RF ports for 9M-14
Diag. 5. Shares of 15 largest terminals in the total import container turnover of the RF ports for 9M-13
Diag. 6. Shares of 15 largest terminals in the total import container turnover of the RF ports for 9M-14
Diag. 7. Shares of the 15 largest terminals in the total RF container turnover for 9M-13
Diag. 8 Shares of the 15 largest terminals in the total RF container turnover for 9M-14
Diag. 9. Shares of the largest terminals in handling cabotage for 9M-13
Diag. 10. Shares of the largest terminals in handling cabotage for 9M-14
Diag. 11. Shares of Russia’s largest terminals in handling loaded containers for 9M-13
Diag. 12. Shares of Russia’s largest terminals in handling loaded containers for 9M-14
Diag. 13. Shares of Russia’s largest terminals in handling export loaded containers for 9M-13
Diag. 14. Shares of Russia’s largest terminals in handling export loaded containers for 9M-14
Diag. 15. Shares of Russia’s largest terminals in handling import loaded containers for 9M-13
Diag. 16. Shares of Russia’s largest terminals in handling import loaded containers for 9M-14
Diag. 17. Shares of the terminals of the Azov-Balck Sea in loaded export, loaded import and empty turnover laden and empty import turnover for 9M-13/14
Diag. 18. Shares of the Far Eastern terminals in loaded and overall container turnover laden terminals (top) and the total cargo turnover for 9M-13/14
Diag. 19. S Shares of the Far Eastern terminals in export loaded and overall container turnover laden terminals (top) and the total cargo turnover for 9M-13/14
Diag. 20. Shares of the Far Eastern terminals in import loaded and overall container turnover laden terminals (top) and the total cargo turnover for 9M-13/14
Diag. 21. Shares of the Far Eastern terminals in cabotage loaded and overall container turnover laden terminals (top) and the total cargo turnover for 9M-13/14
Diag. 22. Structure of container turnover of FCT for 9M-13
Diag. 23. Structure of container turnover of FCT for 9M-14
Diag. 24. Shares of the largest freight forwarders in the loaded exports turnover at FCT for 9M-14
Diag. 25. The shares of international traffic of the Baltic Sea terminals, from Kaliningrad to Moby Dik in 2013 (left) and 2014 (right)
Diag. 26. shares of international traffic of the Big Port of St. Petersburg in 2013 and 2014
Diag. 27. Shares of terminals in the total container turnover of the Baltic Sea, the upper line represents the total turnover in 2013-14
Diag. 28. Shares of terminal holdings in the total container turnover of the Baltic Sea, the upper line represents the total turnover in 2013-14
Diag. 29. Shares of the Ports of the Baltics sea in handling east-bound cargoes for 9M 13/14
Diag. 30. Shares of the transit states handling Russia-bound cargoes in the 9M 2013/14
Diag. 31. Dynamics of the major lines in the US market in exports to 2008-13
Diag. 32. Dynamics of the major lines in the US market to imports in 2008-13
Diag. 33. Dynamics of balance with export and import of the largest lines in the US market to imports in 2008-13
Diag. 34. Dynamics of the total export and import containers in the US 2008-13
Diag. 35. Dynamics of container turnover in the US by lines in 2008-13 with trends for the next 3 years
Diag. 36. Shares of the lines at the First Container Terminal for 9M’2013
Diag. 37. Shares of the lines at the First Container Terminal for 9M’2014
Diag. 38. Shares of the lines at the Big Port SPB for 9M-2013
Diag. 39. Shares of the lines in the Big Port SPB for 9M-2014
Diag. 40. Shares of trades in the rail container turnover on the Russian Railways systems in TEU and in tons in 2013-14
Diag. 41. Dynamics of transportation of loaded containers by trades in 2012-14 in TEU
Diag. 42. Dynamics of transportation of loaded containers by trades in 2012-14 in tons
Diag. 43. Dynamics of transportation of loaded containers by trades in 2012-14 in tonne-kilometers
Diag. 44. Shares of major products shipped in containers loaded on Russian Railways for 9M-13
Diag. 45. Shares of major products shipped in containers loaded on Russian Railways for 9M-14
Diag. 46. Dynamics of rail container transportation by commodities 2012-14
Diag. 47. Dynamics for the commodity group “chemicals and soda” in 2012-14
Diag. 48. Dynamics for the commodity group “auto” in 2012-14
Diag. 49. Dynamics for the commodity group “paper” in 2012-14
Diag. 50. Dynamics for the commodity group “metalware” in 2012-14
Diag. 51. Dynamics Dynamics for the commodity groups with the average turnover in 2012-14
Diag. 52. share of traffic towards Ukrainian ports in 2013-14
Diag. 53. Shares of Ukrainian ports in the total container throughput in 2013-14
Diag. 54. Structure of container turnover of Ukrainian ports in 2013-14
Diag. 55. Structure of the Russian wagons fleet by types of platforms H1’2014
Diag. 57. The structure of the fleet by the length of the platforms
Diag. 58. Retiring platforms
Diag. 59. Shares of Russian container turnover by mode of transport and geography for 9M-13/14
Diag. 60. The optimistic outlook for container turnover in Russia through 2017
Diag. 61. The moderate outlook for container turnover in Russia through 2017
Diag. 62. The negative outlook for container turnover in Russia through 2017

Tab. 1. Rating of container terminals by total turnover of TEU
Tab. 2. Rating of container terminals by loaded turnover in TEU
Tab. 3. Rating of container terminals by cabotage turnover in TEU
Tab. 4. Structure of the turnover of FCT for 9M-13-14
Tab. 5. Turnover largest export forwarders FCT for 9M-14
Tab. 6. Container ports in the Baltic basin in January-September 2014 (thous. TEU)
Tab. 8. Export-import into the United States by lines 2012/13
Tab. 9. Turnover of empty and loaded containers on the Russian Railways system for 9M-13/14 in TEU and tons
Tab. 10. Turnover of empty and loaded containers on the Russian Railways system for 9M-13/14 in TEU and ton-km
Tab. 11. loaded containers on the Russian Railways system for 9M-13/14
Tab. 12. Containers shipped by Transcontainer under own contracts for 9M-13-14
Tab. 13. Containers shipped by Ecodor under own contracts for 9M-13-14
Tab. 14. Containers shipped by Voskhod under own contracts for 9M-13-14
Tab. 15. Containers shipped by Volkswagen under own contracts for 9M-13-14
Tab. 16. Containers shipped by Modul under own contracts for 9M-13-14
Tab. 17. Containers shipped by shippers under own contracts for 9M-13-14
Tab. 18. The largest rail station of origin and destination handling Russia-bound containers in 2013-14
Tab. 19. Owners of platforms
Tab. 20. The total of container turnover of Russia for 9M-2013/14
Tab. 21. Three outlooks for recession-growth of the Russian container market in the next three years
Appendix №1 Railway freight turnover by shippers and the structure of the largest
Appendix №2 Stations of origin and destination by quarters for 2012-14

About InfraNews Agency

The company is dedicated to provide quality information and consultancy services for the Russian and CIS transportation and logistics industry.
(1) News web service at www.infranews.ru
(2) Market surveys
Annual container market survey
Annual survey of the railways rolling stock market: Supply Demand Analyses
Rating of Russia’s port terminals
Rating of Russia’s rail rolling stock operators
Rating of Russia’s importers and exporters, etc.

The author of the reports: Alexey Bezborodov – InfraNews owner and CEO

1997-1998 – expert for investment activity at Sea Port of St. Petersburg.
2003-2004 – Marketing director at National Container Company (NCC)
2004-2006 – projects director at SeaNews Information and Research – SeaNews.ru
In 2005-2006 consultant for Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu on the strategy of developing NCSP
2006-2007 deputy director for investment analyses at ESN
2007 – InfraNews CEO